There is no such thing as a certainty in footy.
Or is there?
We’ve got certainties for Friday night footy, but with eight other games in Round 11, we’ve taken a close look to come up with one certainty for each team for the remaining matches.
Take a look at our certainties for the rest of the weekend’s action.
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Brisbane v GWS
Cameron will kick multiple goals
The league’s best small forward is leading an impressive spread of Brisbane goal kickers this season with 26, and sits outright sixth in the Coleman race after 10 rounds.
With Brisbane’s big key forwards missing through injury at various stages this season, Charlie Cameron has been a pivotal scoring source, with 3+ goals in each of his last five outings.
With the Lions smarting from an upset loss on the road to the Hawks, we’re expecting a response at the Gabba and Charlie to give his motorbike a workout against the Giants.
Perryman to collect 20+ touches
Harry Perryman has flown under the radar in 2022, quietly putting together a very solid season for the Giants.
The 23-year-old GWS Academy product is averaging 23 disposals through the first ten rounds, and coming off a career-high 30 touches last week against the Eagles.
Whilst his higher-profile Giants teammates like Josh Kelly, Tom Green and Tim Taranto command more midfield attention, the big-bodied utility is going about his business with minimum fuss and having an impact.
Perryman has played every game this season and only dipped below the 20 disposal mark twice. We’ll back him to rack them up again at the Gabba on Saturday.
Terence Lattanzio
Geelong v Adelaide
Hawkins and Cameron to kick at least five goals between them
Geelong’s two marquee key forwards are primed to fill their boots against a brittle Adelaide defence on Saturday night.
While Jordon Butts is in the frame to return, the Crows’ makeshift key defensive duo of Nick Murray and Will Hamill will have their work cut out to curtail two of the best forwards in the competition.
With the Crows up against it down at GMHBA Stadium this weekend with their developing defence, Hawkins and Cameron are almost certain to fill their boots in front of goal.
Doedee to take at least five marks
One of the generals down back for Adelaide, Tom Doedee should be in the thick of the action on the weekend.
He’s been in fine form this year, averaging 18 touches and five marks marshalling the Crows’ back six. The 25-year-old has taken fewer than five marks in a game on only three occasions this year.
Considering the amount of ball that is likely to come Doedee’s way in defence, he should easily rack up at least five marks.
Laurence Rosen
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Narrm (Melbourne) v Fremantle
Oliver to collect 30+ disposals
Melbourne star Clayton Oliver enters this clash with Fremantle as perhaps the form player of the competition.
Last week against the Kangaroos, the Brownlow fancy picked up a prolific 45 disposals and was comfortably the best player on the ground.
In 2022, Oliver has only dipped below 30 disposals on two occasions, and he should see himself breakthrough that barrier against a Dockers side that typically opts not to tag.
Last time out in Round 1 of 2021, Oliver was huge for the Dees en route to 35 touches and three Brownlow votes.
Expect him to cause Justin Longmuir significant headaches again this time around.
Brayshaw to collect 25+ disposals
Like Oliver, Andrew Brayshaw is having an imperious season in 2022.
From his 10 games, Brayshaw is averaging 30 disposals per outing and his consistency has been a feature.
In those appearances, he’s yet to dip below the 25-touch mark and you wouldn’t expect that to happen again despite Melbourne’s status as the competition’s best side.
In his last outing against Melbourne, Brayshaw collected 29 disposals and kicked a goal. He’d hope for similar output on Saturday.
As the Dees will well and truly back themselves in at the stoppage, expect Brayshaw to operate with relative freedom and collect plenty of ball for the Dockers.
Lachlan Geleit
West Coast v Western Bulldogs
McGoven to take 5+ marks
West Coast’s defence has been under siege throughout this season.
Eagles backman Jeremy McGovern has done his best to repel an onslaught of opposition attacks.
The four-time All-Australian is ranked fifth in the competition for intercepts while averaging 7.8 marks per game.
McGovern and the Eagles defence will again be tested when they come up against in-form Western Bulldogs spearhead Aaron Naughton on Saturday night.
Naughton to kick 2+ goals
It’s often been Aaron Naughton or bust for the Bulldogs going inside forward 50 this year.
Naughton has kicked multiple goals in seven of 10 games and is sure to pose a huge threat to West Coast’s back six.
The key forward has booted 10 goals in his last three games, including three majors in last week’s win over Gold Coast, to take his season tally to 25.
The 22-year-old finished with four goals in the Dogs’ most recent meeting with the Eagles in Round 15 last year.
Alex Zaia
Gold Coast v Hawthorn
Miller, Rowell and Anderson to combine for 20+ contested possessions
Suns trio Touk Miller, Matt Rowell and Noah Anderson are all contested possession beasts, averaging huge numbers in that area this year.
Co-captain Miller is third in the league with an average of 14.8 per game, while Rowell is not far behind with an average of 13.5 and Anderson 10.7.
On a slippery night in Darwin, the ball should be on the ground a fair bit which will bring this triumvirate right into the game.
They had 25 between them against the Bulldogs last week, but prior combined for 44 against the Dockers and 45 against the Magpies in Round 7.
Factor in that Hawthorn’s second best contested possession player Jaeger O’Meara is out and it should be a fill up around the ball for the Suns midfielders.
Miller, Rowell and Anderson should combine for at least 20 contested possessions.
Breust and Moore to combine for 3+ goals
Luke Breust has been a dependable goal scoring option for Hawthorn over the years, and now Dylan Moore is becoming that player.
Breust has kicked a goal or more in each of his nine games this season, burying multiples in six of those, while Moore has converted in nine of his 10 outings, with two or more on five occasions.
As mentioned earlier, the ball might just be frequently on the deck in Darwin so these two should get a few looks at it inside attacking 50.
The small forward pairing should be combing for 3 or more goals against the Suns on Saturday night.
Andrew Slevison
St Kilda v North Melbourne
Crouch to have 25+ disposals
Brad Crouch has been in a rich vein of form in recent weeks, moving into the role as St Kilda’s No.1 inside midfielder.
He’s gathered at least 27 disposals in each of his last three games and has dropped blow 25 just twice this year, taking his consistency to a new level in 2022.
With the Saints facing a danger-game against North Melbourne, fans will hope Crouch is among those players to fire and set the tone early.
He shapes as one of the most important midfielders on the ground.
Larkey to kick at least 1 goal
It’s been a horrible week for North Melbourne, in the midst of a horrible season.
The club has copped a battering in the media, but a few have tipped them to show some fight this week.
It’ll be on the club’s leaders to stand up, so Nick Larkey will be lively and show why his teammates backed him at the start of the year.
He joined the club’s leadership group at the start of the season and the 23-year-old has only gone goalless twice in 2022.
He’ll kick at least one goal, and North fans will be hoping for many more.
Seb Mottram
Carlton v Collingwood
Carlton win the clearances
Carlton this year has been the most consistently strong clearance team this season, having a +5.2 differential, second only to the Bulldogs.
Collingwood meanwhile sits at a -3.9, meaning they more often than not lose the clearance battle.
The Magpies also aren’t a team that will dominate Carlton ruck wise without Brodie Grundy.
All of this points to the Blues being far too strong in the middle and around the stoppages on Sunday.
Henry to have three shots at goal
You can’t really trust him to salute, but you certainly can trust Ollie Henry to find himself in situations leading to shots at goal.
Henry has had at least three scoring shots in his last three games and only failed to do so twice this season.
The young forward is also the type of player that can get off the chain a bit against the Blues, with no natural matchup for medium forwards.
Expect Henry to have a say on proceedings on Sunday.
Nic Negrepontis
Port Adelaide v Essendon
Parish to have at least 30 disposals
With Essendon at their lowest ebb of the season, it’s hard to find anything to lock-in.
However, what is certain is Darcy Parish racking up plenty of the footy. Despite not having the influence of last season, Parish has had less than 30 possessions just once across his ten games this year.
With Port Adelaide’s midfield relatively weak in terms of depth, there’s no reason for Parish not to be at his accumulating best again on Sunday evening.
Wines to have 25+ disposals
Ollie Wines has found his feet in recent weeks, and we’ll continue to back him in.
He’s set to be the biggest midfield bull taking on Parish from the home side, and it’s easy to forget he won last year’s Brownlow Medal.
Essendon has consistently lost the disposal count in recent weeks, so Wines will have every chance to rack it up.
He’s had over 25 touches in all but one of his games that weren’t injury-affected. He should easily account for that mark again, and Port fans will hope he brings the influence of 2021 as well.
Seb Mottram